Feeling ClutchCrystal Palace vs Tottenham
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — Premier League Prediction & Pick
Tottenham 54% to win
Home win 54%, draw 26%, away win 21%. That lean is driven mainly by form and elo.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Tottenham (12 edges vs 0 edges for Crystal Palace).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Tottenham
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Tottenham.
- Win rate: Tottenham 0.33 vs Crystal Palace 0.17 — leans Tottenham
- Points per game: Tottenham 1.33 vs Crystal Palace 0.75 — leans Tottenham
- Goals scored per game: Tottenham 1.08 vs Crystal Palace 1.17 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Tottenham 1.17 vs Crystal Palace 2.33 — leans Tottenham
- Goal difference per game: Tottenham -0.08 vs Crystal Palace -1.17 — leans Tottenham
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Tottenham
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Tottenham.
- Win rate: Tottenham 0.33 vs Crystal Palace 0.33 — roughly even
- Points per game: Tottenham 1.50 vs Crystal Palace 1.17 — leans Tottenham
- Goals scored per game: Tottenham 1.33 vs Crystal Palace 1.33 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Tottenham 0.83 vs Crystal Palace 2.17 — leans Tottenham
Table and competition — leans Tottenham
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Tottenham.
- Table rank: Tottenham 14 vs Crystal Palace 17 — leans Tottenham
- Points: Tottenham 9 vs Crystal Palace 7 — roughly even
- Goal difference: Tottenham -2 vs Crystal Palace -10 — leans Tottenham
- Points per game in this competition: Tottenham 1.50 vs Crystal Palace 1.17 — leans Tottenham
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Tottenham 1.33 vs Crystal Palace 1.33 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Tottenham 0.83 vs Crystal Palace 2.17 — leans Tottenham
Shots and expected goals — roughly even
Shot and expected-goals profiles grade out as roughly even.
- Expected goals for: Tottenham 1.20 vs Crystal Palace 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Tottenham 1.20 vs Crystal Palace 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Tottenham 5.2 vs Crystal Palace 3.9 — roughly even
- Shots on target for: Tottenham 1.6 vs Crystal Palace 1.3 — roughly even
Rest and availability — roughly even
Rest and availability look similar for Crystal Palace and Tottenham.
- Days of rest: Tottenham 7 vs Crystal Palace 6 — roughly even
- Listed injuries: Tottenham 0 vs Crystal Palace 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — leans Tottenham
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Tottenham.
- Elo: Tottenham 1512 vs Crystal Palace 1496 — roughly even
- Win streak: Tottenham 2 vs Crystal Palace 0 — leans Tottenham
- Unbeaten streak: Tottenham 3 vs Crystal Palace 0 — leans Tottenham
- Home/away split win rate: Tottenham 0.25 vs Crystal Palace 0.25 — roughly even
Head-to-head — roughly even
Head-to-head history between Crystal Palace and Tottenham does not clearly favor either side.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Tottenham 0.50 vs Crystal Palace 0.50 — roughly even
- Goals per meeting: Tottenham 1.17 vs Crystal Palace 1.33 — roughly even
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Crystal Palace +500 | Draw +380 | Tottenham -169 | O/U 2.5 (Matchbook)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.