Feeling ClutchChicago Fire vs Colorado Rapids
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — MLS Prediction & Pick
Chicago Fire 39% to win
Home win 35%, draw 25%, away win 39%. That lean is driven mainly by elo and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Chicago Fire (12 edges vs 4 edges for Colorado Rapids).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Colorado Rapids
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Colorado Rapids.
- Win rate: Colorado Rapids 0.33 vs Chicago Fire 0.33 — roughly even
- Points per game: Colorado Rapids 1.42 vs Chicago Fire 1.25 — leans Colorado Rapids
- Goals scored per game: Colorado Rapids 1.08 vs Chicago Fire 1.58 — leans Chicago Fire
- Goals allowed per game: Colorado Rapids 1.33 vs Chicago Fire 1.83 — leans Colorado Rapids
- Goal difference per game: Colorado Rapids -0.25 vs Chicago Fire -0.25 — roughly even
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Chicago Fire
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Chicago Fire.
- Win rate: Colorado Rapids 0.17 vs Chicago Fire 0.67 — leans Chicago Fire
- Points per game: Colorado Rapids 1.17 vs Chicago Fire 2.00 — leans Chicago Fire
- Goals scored per game: Colorado Rapids 1.50 vs Chicago Fire 1.67 — roughly even
- Goals allowed per game: Colorado Rapids 1.50 vs Chicago Fire 1.33 — roughly even
Table and competition — leans Chicago Fire
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Chicago Fire.
- Table rank: Colorado Rapids 14 vs Chicago Fire 7 — leans Chicago Fire
- Points: Colorado Rapids 42 vs Chicago Fire 51 — leans Chicago Fire
- Goal difference: Colorado Rapids 1 vs Chicago Fire 9 — leans Chicago Fire
- Points per game in this competition: Colorado Rapids 1.17 vs Chicago Fire 2.00 — leans Chicago Fire
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Colorado Rapids 1.50 vs Chicago Fire 1.67 — leans Chicago Fire
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Colorado Rapids 1.50 vs Chicago Fire 1.33 — leans Chicago Fire
Shots and expected goals — leans Chicago Fire
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Chicago Fire.
- Expected goals for: Colorado Rapids 1.20 vs Chicago Fire 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Colorado Rapids 1.20 vs Chicago Fire 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Colorado Rapids 0.0 vs Chicago Fire 3.8 — leans Chicago Fire
- Shots on target for: Colorado Rapids 0.0 vs Chicago Fire 1.2 — leans Chicago Fire
Rest and availability — leans Colorado Rapids
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Colorado Rapids.
- Days of rest: Colorado Rapids 7 vs Chicago Fire 7 — roughly even
- Listed injuries: Colorado Rapids 91 vs Chicago Fire 114 — leans Colorado Rapids
Elo and streaks — roughly even
Elo, streaks, and venue splits do not clearly separate Chicago Fire and Colorado Rapids.
- Elo: Colorado Rapids 1476 vs Chicago Fire 1551 — leans Chicago Fire
- Win streak: Colorado Rapids 1 vs Chicago Fire 1 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Colorado Rapids 2 vs Chicago Fire 1 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Colorado Rapids 0.58 vs Chicago Fire 0.33 — leans Colorado Rapids
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Chicago Fire +200 | Draw +280 | Colorado Rapids +130 | O/U 2.5 (LeoVegas (SE))
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.