Feeling ClutchAustin vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — MLS Prediction & Pick
Los Angeles Galaxy 56% to win
Home win 56%, draw 22%, away win 22%. That lean is driven mainly by form and elo.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Galaxy (13 edges vs 6 edges for Austin).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Win rate: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.42 vs Austin 0.25 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Points per game: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.58 vs Austin 1.17 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goals scored per game: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.75 vs Austin 1.25 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goals allowed per game: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.00 vs Austin 1.67 — leans Austin
- Goal difference per game: Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 vs Austin -0.42 — roughly even
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Win rate: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.50 vs Austin 0.17 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Points per game: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.83 vs Austin 0.83 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goals scored per game: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.33 vs Austin 1.33 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goals allowed per game: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.33 vs Austin 2.17 — roughly even
Table and competition — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Table rank: Los Angeles Galaxy 17 vs Austin 26 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Points: Los Angeles Galaxy 41 vs Austin 34 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goal difference: Los Angeles Galaxy -9 vs Austin -17 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Points per game in this competition: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.83 vs Austin 0.83 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.33 vs Austin 1.33 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.33 vs Austin 2.17 — leans Austin
Shots and expected goals — roughly even
Shot and expected-goals profiles grade out as roughly even.
- Expected goals for: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.20 vs Austin 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.20 vs Austin 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.0 vs Austin 0.0 — roughly even
- Shots on target for: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.0 vs Austin 0.0 — roughly even
Rest and availability — leans Austin
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Austin.
- Days of rest: Los Angeles Galaxy 6 vs Austin 7 — leans Austin
- Listed injuries: Los Angeles Galaxy 108 vs Austin 78 — leans Austin
Elo and streaks — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Elo: Los Angeles Galaxy 1501 vs Austin 1470 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
- Win streak: Los Angeles Galaxy 0 vs Austin 1 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Los Angeles Galaxy 1 vs Austin 1 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.42 vs Austin 0.33 — leans Los Angeles Galaxy
Head-to-head — leans Austin
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Austin.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.33 vs Austin 0.50 — leans Austin
- Goals per meeting: Los Angeles Galaxy 1.33 vs Austin 1.67 — leans Austin
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Austin +360 | Draw +340 | Los Angeles Galaxy -141 | O/U 3.5 (LeoVegas (SE))
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.