Feeling ClutchAtletico Madrid vs Levante
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — La Liga Prediction & Pick
Atletico Madrid 42% to win
Home win 32%, draw 25%, away win 42%. That lean is driven mainly by elo and form. Standings pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Atletico Madrid (20 edges vs 2 edges for Levante).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Atletico Madrid
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Atletico Madrid.
- Win rate: Levante 0.25 vs Atletico Madrid 0.67 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Points per game: Levante 1.08 vs Atletico Madrid 2.17 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goals scored per game: Levante 1.58 vs Atletico Madrid 1.83 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goals allowed per game: Levante 1.75 vs Atletico Madrid 0.92 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goal difference per game: Levante -0.17 vs Atletico Madrid 0.92 — leans Atletico Madrid
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Atletico Madrid
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Atletico Madrid.
- Win rate: Levante 0.17 vs Atletico Madrid 0.83 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Points per game: Levante 0.83 vs Atletico Madrid 2.67 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goals scored per game: Levante 1.83 vs Atletico Madrid 1.50 — leans Levante
- Goals allowed per game: Levante 2.33 vs Atletico Madrid 0.50 — leans Atletico Madrid
Table and competition — leans Atletico Madrid
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Atletico Madrid.
- Table rank: Levante 14 vs Atletico Madrid 2 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Points: Levante 10 vs Atletico Madrid 25 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goal difference: Levante -3 vs Atletico Madrid 12 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Points per game in this competition: Levante 0.83 vs Atletico Madrid 3.00 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Levante 1.83 vs Atletico Madrid 2.17 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Levante 2.33 vs Atletico Madrid 0.33 — leans Atletico Madrid
Shots and expected goals — leans Atletico Madrid
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Atletico Madrid.
- Expected goals for: Levante 1.20 vs Atletico Madrid 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Levante 1.20 vs Atletico Madrid 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Levante 4.6 vs Atletico Madrid 10.5 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Shots on target for: Levante 1.8 vs Atletico Madrid 3.7 — leans Atletico Madrid
Rest and availability — roughly even
Rest and availability look similar for Atletico Madrid and Levante.
- Days of rest: Levante 6 vs Atletico Madrid 7 — roughly even
- Listed injuries: Levante 0 vs Atletico Madrid 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — leans Atletico Madrid
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Atletico Madrid.
- Elo: Levante 1489 vs Atletico Madrid 1670 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Win streak: Levante 0 vs Atletico Madrid 1 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Levante 0 vs Atletico Madrid 2 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Home/away split win rate: Levante 0.67 vs Atletico Madrid 0.50 — leans Levante
Head-to-head — leans Atletico Madrid
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Atletico Madrid.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Levante 0.00 vs Atletico Madrid 0.50 — leans Atletico Madrid
- Goals per meeting: Levante 0.50 vs Atletico Madrid 1.50 — leans Atletico Madrid
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Atletico Madrid -154 | Draw +370 | Levante +420 | O/U 3.5 (Matchbook)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.