Feeling ClutchAngers vs Lyon
Saturday, October 31, 2026 — Ligue 1 Prediction & Pick
Lyon 64% to win
Home win 64%, draw 20%, away win 16%. That lean is driven mainly by form and elo.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Lyon (20 edges vs 1 edge for Angers).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Lyon
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Lyon.
- Win rate: Lyon 0.42 vs Angers 0.17 — leans Lyon
- Points per game: Lyon 1.50 vs Angers 0.83 — leans Lyon
- Goals scored per game: Lyon 1.58 vs Angers 1.00 — leans Lyon
- Goals allowed per game: Lyon 1.00 vs Angers 1.92 — leans Lyon
- Goal difference per game: Lyon 0.58 vs Angers -0.92 — leans Lyon
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Lyon
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Lyon.
- Win rate: Lyon 0.50 vs Angers 0.17 — leans Lyon
- Points per game: Lyon 1.67 vs Angers 0.83 — leans Lyon
- Goals scored per game: Lyon 1.67 vs Angers 1.00 — leans Lyon
- Goals allowed per game: Lyon 1.00 vs Angers 2.00 — leans Lyon
Table and competition — leans Lyon
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Lyon.
- Table rank: Lyon 5 vs Angers 14 — leans Lyon
- Points: Lyon 14 vs Angers 8 — leans Lyon
- Goal difference: Lyon 6 vs Angers -6 — leans Lyon
- Points per game in this competition: Lyon 1.67 vs Angers 0.83 — leans Lyon
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Lyon 1.67 vs Angers 1.00 — leans Lyon
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Lyon 1.00 vs Angers 2.00 — leans Lyon
Shots and expected goals — leans Lyon
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Lyon.
- Expected goals for: Lyon 1.20 vs Angers 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Lyon 1.20 vs Angers 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Lyon 3.7 vs Angers 3.3 — roughly even
- Shots on target for: Lyon 1.9 vs Angers 1.2 — leans Lyon
Rest and availability — leans Angers
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Angers.
- Days of rest: Lyon 5 vs Angers 6 — leans Angers
- Listed injuries: Lyon 0 vs Angers 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — leans Lyon
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Lyon.
- Elo: Lyon 1592 vs Angers 1419 — leans Lyon
- Win streak: Lyon 0 vs Angers 0 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Lyon 0 vs Angers 1 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Lyon 0.58 vs Angers 0.17 — leans Lyon
Head-to-head — leans Lyon
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Lyon.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Lyon 0.83 vs Angers 0.00 — leans Lyon
- Goals per meeting: Lyon 2.33 vs Angers 0.17 — leans Lyon
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Angers +670 | Draw +424 | Lyon -228 | O/U 2.5 (1xBet)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.