Feeling ClutchRennes vs Nice
Friday, October 30, 2026 — Ligue 1 Prediction & Pick
Rennes 47% to win
Home win 28%, draw 25%, away win 47%. That lean is driven mainly by elo and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Rennes (16 edges vs 4 edges for Nice).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this match.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last 10 games) — leans Rennes
Evaluating win rate, points, and goals over the last ten games, the matchup favors Rennes.
- Win rate: Nice 0.33 vs Rennes 0.58 — leans Rennes
- Points per game: Nice 1.33 vs Rennes 1.83 — leans Rennes
- Goals scored per game: Nice 1.08 vs Rennes 2.08 — leans Rennes
- Goals allowed per game: Nice 1.08 vs Rennes 1.92 — leans Nice
- Goal difference per game: Nice 0.00 vs Rennes 0.17 — roughly even
Short-term form (last 5 games) — leans Rennes
Looking at the last five matches — results and goals — the matchup favors Rennes.
- Win rate: Nice 0.50 vs Rennes 0.67 — leans Rennes
- Points per game: Nice 1.67 vs Rennes 2.00 — leans Rennes
- Goals scored per game: Nice 1.33 vs Rennes 2.17 — leans Rennes
- Goals allowed per game: Nice 1.17 vs Rennes 1.67 — leans Nice
Table and competition — leans Rennes
Factoring in table position, points, goal difference, and results in this competition, the matchup favors Rennes.
- Table rank: Nice 10 vs Rennes 2 — leans Rennes
- Points: Nice 11 vs Rennes 16 — leans Rennes
- Goal difference: Nice -2 vs Rennes 4 — leans Rennes
- Points per game in this competition: Nice 1.67 vs Rennes 2.00 — leans Rennes
- Goals scored per game in this competition: Nice 1.33 vs Rennes 2.17 — leans Rennes
- Goals allowed per game in this competition: Nice 1.17 vs Rennes 1.67 — leans Nice
Shots and expected goals — leans Rennes
Comparing shot volume and expected-goals profiles, the matchup favors Rennes.
- Expected goals for: Nice 1.20 vs Rennes 1.20 — roughly even
- Expected goals against: Nice 1.20 vs Rennes 1.20 — roughly even
- Shots for: Nice 3.5 vs Rennes 5.1 — leans Rennes
- Shots on target for: Nice 1.4 vs Rennes 2.2 — leans Rennes
Rest and availability — leans Nice
Factoring in days of rest and listed injuries, the matchup favors Nice.
- Days of rest: Nice 8 vs Rennes 6 — leans Nice
- Listed injuries: Nice 0 vs Rennes 0 — roughly even
Elo and streaks — leans Rennes
Weighing Elo ratings, current streaks, and home/away splits, the matchup favors Rennes.
- Elo: Nice 1502 vs Rennes 1591 — leans Rennes
- Win streak: Nice 1 vs Rennes 1 — roughly even
- Unbeaten streak: Nice 1 vs Rennes 1 — roughly even
- Home/away split win rate: Nice 0.25 vs Rennes 0.50 — leans Rennes
Head-to-head — leans Rennes
Looking at recent meetings between these sides, the matchup favors Rennes.
- Win rate in prior meetings: Nice 0.50 vs Rennes 0.50 — roughly even
- Goals per meeting: Nice 1.17 vs Rennes 1.83 — leans Rennes
Win chance comes from the scoreline distribution of the predicted goals.
Betting Lines
Rennes +153 | Draw +284 | Nice +178 | O/U 2.5 (1xBet)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.